2022 Maine gubernatorial election - Wikipedia

2022 Maine gubernatorial election

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  Janet Mills in 2019.jpg Paul LePage by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Nominee Janet Mills Paul LePage
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 376,934 287,304
Percentage 55.7% 42.4%

2022 Maine gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Mills:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
LePage:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

Governor before election

Janet Mills
Democratic

Elected Governor

Janet Mills
Democratic

The 2022 Maine gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Maine. Incumbent Democratic governor Janet Mills won re-election to a second term. Mills faced no primary opposition.[1] The only Republican to file to run for the GOP nomination was former governor Paul LePage.[2] It was the first gubernatorial election in Maine since 1982 in which no third party or independent candidate has polled higher than 10%. An independent candidate, Sam Hunkler, received 2% of the vote, the lowest total for a third party or independent candidate since 1982. This was also the first gubernatorial election in Maine since 1990 in which the winner was from the same party as the incumbent president. With over 376,000 votes, Mills won more votes than any other gubernatorial candidate in Maine history, breaking her own record set four years earlier. Mills's 13 point margin of victory was the largest for a statewide Democratic candidate since George J. Mitchell won over 80% of the vote in the 1988 United States Senate election.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Failed to qualify for ballot access[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Janet Mills
State legislators
Organizations

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Janet Mills (incumbent) 69,422 93.42%
Democratic Blank ballots 4,889 6.58%
Total votes 74,311 100.0%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Failed to qualify for ballot access[edit]

Filed paperwork[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Paul LePage
U.S. Senators
U.S. Governors
Organizations
  • Maine Lodge of the Fraternal Order of Police[14]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Paul LePage 59,713 90.91%
Republican Blank ballots 5,971 9.09%
Total votes 65,684 100.0%

Independents[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Declined[edit]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Lean D March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[19] Lean D July 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Lean D August 18, 2022
Politico[21] Lean D August 12, 2022
RCP[22] Tossup January 10, 2022
Fox News[23] Lean D October 11, 2022
538[24] Likely D September 18, 2022
Elections Daily[25] Lean D November 7, 2022

Endorsements[edit]

Janet Mills (D)
U.S. Senator
State legislators
Organization
Newspapers
Paul LePage (R)
U.S. Senators
U.S. Governors
Organizations

Polling[edit]

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Janet
Mills (D)
Paul
LePage (R)
Other
[a]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight May 4 – November 6, 2022 November 6, 2022 50% 43% 7% Mills +7
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Janet
Mills (D)
Paul
LePage (R)
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire November 2–6, 2022 922 (LV) ± 3.2% 52% 44% 2%[c] 2%
SurveyUSA October 28 – November 2, 2022 1,116 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 43% 4%[d] 5%
Pan Atlantic Research October 7–15, 2022 400 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 39% 2%[e] 10%
Emerson College September 19–20, 2022 1,164 (LV) ± 2.8% 53% 41% 2%[f] 4%
University of New Hampshire September 15–19, 2022 694 (LV) ± 3.7% 53% 39% 2%[g] 5%
Maine People's Resource Center September 1–9, 2022 814 (RV) ± 3.4% 49% 38% 3% 10%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) May 10–13, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 46% 3%
Pan Atlantic Research April 21 – May 5, 2022 824 (LV) ± 3.4% 46% 42% 7% 4%
Digital Research Inc. March 14 – April 7, 2022 622 (RV) ± 3.9% 42% 39% 6%[h] 13%
SurveyUSA (D)[A] August 24–31, 2021 1,242 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 41% 13%
SurveyUSA[B] May 13–19, 2021 514 (RV) ± 5.3% 45% 38% 3%[i] 12%

Debates[edit]

2022 Maine gubernatorial debates
No. Date Organizer Moderator Location Link Democratic Republican Independent
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee

 W  Withdrawn

Janet Mills Paul LePage Sam Hunkler
1[45] October 4, 2022 Maine Public, Portland Press Herald, Sun Journal Jennifer Rooks Lewiston C-SPAN P P P
2[46] October 6, 2022 Portland Regional Chamber of Commerce Quincy Hentzel Portland YouTube P P N
3[47] October 24, 2022 Bangor Daily News, WGME-TV Gregg Lagerquist Portland YouTube P P N
4[48] October 27, 2022 Maine State Chamber of Commerce, News Center Maine Pat Callaghan Portland YouTube P P N

Results[edit]

2022 Maine gubernatorial election[49]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Janet Mills (incumbent) 376,934 55.7 +4.8
Republican Paul LePage 287,304 42.4 -0.8
Independent Sam Hunkler 12,581 1.9 N/A
Total votes 680,909 100 N/A
Turnout %
Registered electors
Democratic hold

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Hunkler (I) with 2%
  4. ^ Hunkler (I) with 4%
  5. ^ Hunkler (I) with 2%
  6. ^ Hunkler (I) and "someone else" with 1%
  7. ^ Hunkler (I) and "Other" with 1%
  8. ^ "Independent candidate" with 6%
  9. ^ "Other" with 2%; Michael Barden (G) with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Swing Hard Turn Left
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Our Power Maine

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Republican Paul LePage looks ahead to Main's November governor race against Gov. Janet Mills". PBS NewsHour. June 14, 2022. Retrieved June 15, 2022.
  2. ^ Hirschkorn, Phil (March 16, 2022). "It's official: Janet Mills versus Paul LePage in Maine gubernatorial race this November". WMTW.
  3. ^ "Gov. Janet Mills officially launches reelection bid". www.wabi.tv. WABI-TV. Retrieved March 9, 2022.
  4. ^ "China resident John Glowa announces as Democratic candidate for governor". The Town Line. September 15, 2021. Retrieved February 24, 2022.
  5. ^ "SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #26081". www.surveyusa.com.
  6. ^ a b c Howard, Andrew (October 10, 2021). "The fruitless effort to primary Janet Mills". The Maine Monitor. Retrieved October 11, 2021 – via Bangor Daily News.
  7. ^ a b "Candidates for Governor". emilyslist.org.
  8. ^ a b "June 14, 2022 - Primary Election – Non-Ranked Choice Offices". Department of the Secretary of State-Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions.
  9. ^ Shepherd, Michael (April 29, 2020). "Paul LePage says 'I am going to challenge Janet Mills' in 2022". Bangor Daily News. Archived from the original on May 2, 2020. Retrieved April 29, 2020.
  10. ^ Collins, Steve (January 19, 2021). "Anti-gay activist Michael Heath says he's running for governor". Sun-Journal. Archived from the original on May 5, 2021. Retrieved January 22, 2021.
  11. ^ a b c d Thistle, Scott (September 22, 2021). "LePage makes a return to the campaign stage". Press Herald. Retrieved September 22, 2021.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  12. ^ a b DiStaso, John (November 6, 2020). "NH Primary Source: Did Sununu just announce a 2022 US Senate run against Hassan? No, but …". Archived from the original on November 7, 2020. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
  13. ^ Leader, Kevin Landrigan New Hampshire Union. "Sununu says 'definitely open' to 2022 Senate bid". UnionLeader.com. Retrieved February 20, 2021.
  14. ^ Shepherd, Michael (July 22, 2022). "Paul LePage and Jared Golden win Maine police group's backing in major split". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved July 23, 2022.
  15. ^ Piper, Jessica (May 28, 2022). "A 3rd candidate joins Janet Mills and Paul LePage on the November ballot". Bangor Daily News.
  16. ^ Piper, Jessica; Shepherd, Michael; Andrews, Caitlin (July 2, 2021). "Paul LePage versus Janet Mills is on. An anti-CMP corridor candidate might join them". Bangor Daily News. Archived from the original on July 11, 2021. Retrieved August 12, 2021.
  17. ^ "Former Sen. Saviello says he won't run for governor". MPBN. February 3, 2022. Retrieved February 4, 2022.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  18. ^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  19. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  20. ^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  21. ^ "Maine Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  22. ^ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  23. ^ "Fox News Power Rankings: Dems, GOP locked in close battle as final month of campaigning begins". Fox News. October 11, 2022. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  24. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  25. ^ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  26. ^ Billings, Randy (September 30, 2022). "Sen. Angus King endorses Gov. Janet Mills in bid for second term". Lewiston Sun Journal.
  27. ^ "Take It From Maine Conservation Voters: Paul LePage Is A Threat To Maine's Environment". www.mainedems.org. June 2, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  28. ^ "Maine AFL-CIO Endorses Janet Mills for Governor". maineaflocio.org.
  29. ^ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Maine Gov. Janet Mills for Reelection". hrc.org.
  30. ^ "Maine Conservation Voters Action Fund Endorses Governor Janet Mills over Paul LePage" (PDF). npeaction.org.
  31. ^ "We Strongly Endorse Janet Mills for Governor of Maine". maineconservtion.org. October 6, 2018.
  32. ^ "Planned Parenthood endorses Maine Gov. Janet Mills for reelection citing record on abortion rights". wtmw.com. July 28, 2022.
  33. ^ "Maine workers endorse Governor Janet Mills for reelection". mseaseiu.org.
  34. ^ a b c d "Janet Mills' Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  35. ^ "Sierra Club Maine 2022 Endorsed Candidates". www.sierra club.com. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  36. ^ "Maine Credit Union League Endorses Janet T. Mills for Governor". mainecul.org. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  37. ^ "All Endorsed Candidates". womenspoliticalcommittee.org. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  38. ^ "Governor Mills Awarded Endorsements from Two Major Non-profits". munjoyhillnews.net. September 22, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  39. ^ "2022 Endorsed Candidates". www.rachesactionnetwork.org. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  40. ^ https://www.bangordailynews.com/2022/10/27/opinion/editorials/janet-mills-should-be-re-elected-as-maines-governor/
  41. ^ https://www.pressherald.com/2022/11/03/desantis-endorses-lepage-republican-governor-candidates/
  42. ^ Landrigan, Kevin (March 1, 2021). "Sununu says 'definitely open' to 2022 Senate bid". UnionLeader.com. Retrieved February 20, 2021.
  43. ^ "Va. Gov. Youngkin to travel to Maine to endorse GOP gubernatorial candidate".
  44. ^ Mundry, Jackie (July 27, 2022). "Mills, LePage pick up major endorsements this week in Maine". WCSH. Retrieved August 5, 2022.
  45. ^ Miller, Kevin (October 5, 2022). "Mills, LePage spar over abortion, immigration and economy in first televised debate". Maine Public. Archived from the original on October 13, 2022. Retrieved October 17, 2022.
  46. ^ Overton, Penelope; Billings, Randy (October 6, 2022). "Mills and LePage take on economic issues, and each other, in Portland debate". Portland Press Herald. Archived from the original on October 13, 2022. Retrieved October 17, 2022.
  47. ^ Miller, Kevin (October 25, 2022). "Behind in the polls, LePage ratchets up attacks on Mills during second TV debate". Maine Public. Archived from the original on November 1, 2022. Retrieved November 1, 2022.
  48. ^ "LePage and Mills face off in Voice of the Voter forum. Here's what they said". News Center Maine. October 28, 2022. Archived from the original on October 30, 2022. Retrieved November 1, 2022.
  49. ^ "Maine Secretary of State: November 8, 2022 General Election- Non-Ranked Choice Offices". November 30, 2022. Retrieved November 30, 2022.

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites